Saturday, February 04, 2006

T.WILL/ TICE/ SUPER BOWL

-Giving some consideration of the T.Will for Domanick Davis trade. Even though the Vikings would get Houston's 2nd-number 33 overall for T.Will. I would say no to this deal.

Reasons

1. Domanick Davis in 2004 didn't have a run of longer than 12 yards before Thanksgiving-YIKES!!!. While I'm not a big fan of speed-backs, this is a bit much.

2. He's not really all that different a back than what the Vikings have. He's similar to Mewelde Moore, who despite Davis's reputation as a tough-runner. Moore led the league in 2004 in yards after first contact. While Moore isn't a 25 carry a game guy, the Vikings have Onterrio Smith who is another back similar to Domanick Davis, since I expect Smith to be back on the team. In other words, I don't see Domanick Davis greatly improving the Minnesota Vikings.

3. Koren Robinson is hit or miss to be back, as I will get too later. The Vikings lack an explosive presence at the WR position, and that is what T.WILL might bring. Taylor, Burleson are more possesion guys, Marcus Robinson is atricious on short routes, and I doubt he will back in purple. So Troy Williamson does have use. Troy Williamson's speed and quickness gives him a chance to develop. Hopefully the Vikings will try getting him more involved in slants, screens, and crossing routes.

4. It would be two soon to give up on Troy Williamson, receivers should be given three years to develop. Could Williamson be a bust? Absolutely. But that's the way it goes, Domanick Davis isn't a special enough player to give up on him for.

5. Houston's O-Line although terrible pass-blocking actually isn't that bad run blocking, in fact they were probably better than the Vikings were in this area. Although the Vikings probably will be better than the Texans, once Matt Birk comes back.

So if I was the Vikings, I would say Domanick Davis is worth a 3rd round pick in the 2006 draft. Similar to what the Titans gave up for Travis Henry.

Rumor has it that Mike Tice might have tried to lure Koren Robinson and Brian Williams to the Jacksonville Jaguars. It is illegal to recruit before March 1. Not that I care, since I don't know that there need be an illegality about it, since how can they enforce it. Neither player is irreplacble. I don't think Brian Williams is a good investment with a big contract, due to streaky play. I would rather stay with Fred Smoot. Koren Robinson I wouldn't overpay for either, while he is a terrific KR, he wasn't anything special at WR. So anything more than 4 million a year, I think you take your chances elsewhere.
As far as my Super Bowl pick.
The team Seattle is most like that the Steelers have faced is Cincy on Offense, due to balance and line play, and Indy on Defense, due to undersized D-line, and LB core athelticism. So Seattle should be able to score on Pitt. Since their O-Line is the best the Steelers have seen. So Pittsburgh wouldn't bring as much pressure as they have in their previous games. Seattle isn't going to gut the Steelers on the ground though.
The teams Pittsburgh is most similar to that Seattle has played is a cross between Dallas (3-4) and Washingston (variety of looks to bring pressure) on D, and not really anyone on O but somewhat similar to the Giants and Jaguars.
Things I think
1. Seattle could be a bit confused by Pittsburgh's rush, but wouldn't allow Joey Porter to roam as free as he has in recent weeks. If Hasselbeck gets time to pass Pittsburgh's DB's can be exploited. Seattle should score around 24 points.
2. Pittsburgh I think Seattle's undersized D-LINE could be worn out by the Steelers Physical O-Line. If they run early and often. The Steelers want a game that moves fast. I think Seattle's D-Line will wear out in the 4th quarter. The Steelers might have to come back, but I see them winning.
Steelers 27
Seahawks 24

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